March 4, 2025
Seoul – Expectations for an opposition-led administrative change have gone beyond the wrong scope and exceeded forecasts for the ongoing domination of the ruling party, a poll on Monday showed growing likelihoods as early presidential elections.
When asked “what would you expect in the election if you were to hold an early presidential election”, 55.1% of respondents responded to “an opposition-led administrative change”, while 39% supported “the ruling party continued to rule.” The remaining 5.9% of them responded unsure.
A local poll tool survey was conducted Wednesday to Friday at the request of the Daily News Media Energy Economics News, 1,506 qualified voters were investigated.
Support for management changes increased by 6.1 percentage points compared to last week's results, while support from the conservative BJP fell by 6.3 percentage points. The gap between the two positions expanded from 3.7 percentage points last week to 16.1 percentage points, exceeding the positive or negative 2.5 percentage points error.
This trend was observed after President Yoon Suk Yeol's final impeachment hearing, which was suspended on February 25, and the Constitutional Court is largely expected to make a ruling in mid-March.
South Korea's main opposition Democratic Party led 44.2%, 3.1 percentage points ahead of last week, while the ruling BJP lagged 37.6%, down 5.1 percentage points in the same period.
When asked about the most suitable presidential candidate, Democratic leader Rep. Lee Jae-Myung led the game with 46.3%. He was delayed by ruling party Labor Minister Kim Moon-soo, accounting for 18.9%, and former BJP leader Han Dong-Hoon was 6.9%.
Daegu Mayor Hong Joon-Pyo, Seoul Mayor OH SE-HOON and former MP Yoo Seong-Min (all members of the Conservative Party ruling party) lag behind 6.8%, 5.1% and 2.1%, respectively.
Behind them, the new future Democratic former Prime Minister Lee Nak-Yon had a turnout of 1.7%, followed by Gunggiji Governor Kim Dong-Yeon and Gungsang Governor Kim Kyung-Soo, respectively, at 1.4% and 1.3% respectively.
Meanwhile, Lee, the top contender of the main opposition, also outperformed all the BJP candidates in a one-on-one showdown.
Lee led by 18.4 percentage points – 50% to 31.6%. Lee led by 26.8 percentage points – 50.3% to 23.5% against Hong, who led by 25.8 percentage points, 50% to 24.2%.
Among them, Li's most extensive lead was against Han, with Li leading by 29.4 percentage points – 49.7% to 20.3%.
The survey responded at 6%, with 1,506 responses being completed out of 25,263 calls. The margin of error for this survey is 2.5 percentage points of positive or subtracted confidence by 95%.
